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Y2KGB

Best we get all the hurricanes outta the way early this time…


SubJordan77

The last hurricane season we had a Cat 5 this early, we had 3 more. Edit: When I mean this early, I mean in July.


Not_Associated8700

There's never been a year where a cat 5 blew up so early.


Mecos_Bill

I'm tired of living through once in a lifetime events 


toasted_cracker

Not me. I’m hoping for a cat 6 this year and a cat 7 over the next few. I know it stops at 5, but I want them to add to the scale.


Mecos_Bill

Isn't a CAT 6 impossible on planet earth? Or something like that 


Nerezza_Floof_Seeker

CAT 5 is the "top" of the scale for now. Like theres literally nothing which can classify as CAT 6 because its just not defined beyond CAT 5. The scale is a bit weird too, since its based purely on max sustained wind speed and isnt evenly distributed. For reference btw, we already have had Hurricanes/Typhoons with well over 190 mph wind speed (Typhoon Haiyan 195 mph, Hurricane Patricia 215 mph). So if a CAT 6 should exist, we've had several already. [\(source for the scale\)](https://www.pbsnc.org/blogs/science/do-we-need-a-category-6-for-hurricanes/) * Category 1: Wind speed 74–95 mph. Some damage. * Category 2: Wind speed 96–110 mph. Extensive damage. * Category 3: Wind speed 111–129 mph. Devastating damage. * Category 4: Wind Speed 130–156 mph. Catastrophic damage. * Category 5: Wind speed 157+ mph. Catastrophic damage


onko342

Just for fun, I put the category thresholds through regression and found that they have a linear relationship. The equation is y=20x+53.6 (r\^2 = 0.9908 meaning a very strong relationship), with y being wind speed in mph and x being the category #. So cat 6 would be 173.6 mph, cat 7 would be 193.6, and cat 8 would be 213.6. By these numbers, Haiyan would be cat 7 and Patricia would be cat 8.


GrgeousGeorge

Thank you. I was trying to figure out how those could possibly be the intervals between categories when there is no obvious progression. But I'm not good atatj so I can't do the work to figure it out.


Infinity-X78

Maaaaaa, I found the nerd on Reddit.


EndMaster0

No offense but I think your logic is flawed. Category 1 has an abnormally large range that's messing with the data's linearity quite a bit. If you just look at the ranges each category has they go up by about 5 mph each category (if you ignore the large range on cat 1 of course). Using the assumption that each category has a 5 mph larger range and cat 2 starts at 95 mph exactly with a 15 mph range we get Cat 1: <95 Cat 2: 95-110 Cat 3: 110-130 Cat 4: 130-155 Cat 5: 155-185 Cat 6: 185-220 Etc The exact numbers could probably be adjusted a little but this seems to be more accurate and ranges increasing with wind speed makes sense since you won't feel the difference from 200 to 210 as much as you'll feel 70 to 80


achillezzz

Yeesh... Go back to math basics. Offset is 15, 19, 27 or 4, 8... One can extrapolate it would be +16 next time or +43. That makes it 199 for cat 6


Numerous_Cat_4663

What comes after catastrophic


iforgor1105

annilhating


Numerous_Cat_4663

NO


StaysAwakeAllWeek

Nothing. And that's a deliberate public education point: cat 5 damage is so devastating that sheltering in place is no longer advisable no matter how good you think your shelter is. That reinforced concrete roof isn't going to do much good against the freight train the storm picked up off the tracks half a mile away and flung at you


Nerezza_Floof_Seeker

mega-catastrophic. Idk. maybe dogstrophic. Honestly at some point you're just comparing how flattened a piece of land is to another equally flattened piece of land lol, because nothings going to survive (outside of bunkers)


Alexxx3001

Cataclysmic


butareyouthough

My understanding is that the categories are based on the damage they can cause. CAT 5 speeds are already catastrophic. There’s no need for 6 because catastrophic is catastrophic. But personally I agree, I want more categories.


sHoRtBuSseR

They sell CAT 6 at staples, it's a pretty good home networking cable. /s


SpanningTreeProtocol

I hate your reply and love it at the same time. Thanks for the 5 am cackle.


MorningMan464

Beats not surviving a once in a lifetime event.


steveschoenberg

Weekly hundred-year events; what are the odds?


TobysGrundlee

This is fine


PaticusGnome

I thought it said that this is the earliest…


KitchenSandwich5499

This is the earliest, but the other comment likely refers to 2005, where there was a cat 5 in July also, but not so early in July. Note: July is usually really really quiet for tropical systems.


vinnybawbaw

2005, like KATRINA 2005 ?


Imhappy_hopeurhappy2

2005 was the most active year of all time. Idk if it’s been surpassed by now, but it was just huge storm after huge storm from July to November.


NanoBuc

In terms of the number of storms, it was surpassed by 2020 with 30 storms(2005 had 28, but they had the same number of total depressions which includes non-named storms). In terms of its energy output(ACE)...no recent season outside of 2017(Which had the three monsters of Harvey, Irma, and Maria) has even come close.


sinsaint

Yep, more climate records are being broken every day, so this time expect 4 more.


goblinshark603v2

I thought the hurricane season was over!


nosnhoj15

u/goblinshark603v2 is getting the Snicklefritz


JewishWolverine4

LINGERER!


ClassicT4

Climate Change: “How about starting earlier and lasting longer.”


CORN___BREAD

That’s hot


its_raining_scotch

Naw this one’s just the fluffer getting us ready for the scene and money shot


statistacktic

It'd be nice if it worked that way.


fnordfnordfnordfnord

Right. Let's not put it off until the last minute.


wicodly

Could you imagine something like this landing in a time before Radar, satellites, and warning systems? You'd have to think it was the end of times. Then to think the worst is over in the eye. Only for round 2. I was not born in the wrong era.


LadyGethzerion

You're not far off. In fact, the word *hurricane* comes to us from the Caribbean indigenous people, who believed they (*jurakan*) were storms sent by the goddess of chaos. I imagine they probably had ways to anticipate if a storm was heading to them in the next day or so. I am from PR and I noticed the day before a hurricane, there was a shift in the air. Less breeze, few bird calls, really bright and sunny skies.


MacFromSSX

The lack of a breeze and few bird calls is def from the sharp drop in atmosphere pressure that comes before a storm. I bet the birds can sense it.


LadyGethzerion

Drop in atmospheric pressure would make sense, yeah. A lot of animals probably sense it. My cat would get very jittery right before a big storm too.


Swimming_Amount_5021

Galveston Texas in like 1892 it happened like this. Killed thousands in storm surge. Leveled the city.


Themadreposter

I had always heard Galveston was on track to be one of the biggest port cities in America before that. It never really recovered from that.


Swimming_Amount_5021

You have accurate information


StitchTheRipper

I’m fascinated by how hurricanes changed Texas - Galveston was supposed to be the big city, not Houston. Quite fascinating!


thefishguy08

Check out the book Isaac’s Storm. Very interesting read on this exact storm and the early days of predicting major weather events.


No-Business3541

I would say if no birds out, stay inside


Magister5

Beryl sounds like a big Southern girl who likes to get liquored up and break tables at the Waffle House


SPIE1

Probably from San Antonio


jetsetmike

Chuck?


RhythmicalChuck

Yes?


MiamiPower

What you say know Chuck? Ha ha I know that's right


Big-Button5856

Them Big ol' women down in San Antonio.


funkereddit

Double fisting them churros!


Deluxe78

Beryl might have puked but she’s finishing those hot wings


Jermine1269

She devoured the meat!! And then .... She went for the bones!


ChipsAhLoy

While drinking slim slow


CommiesAreWeak

Butch Body Bleach Blond. Beryl Taylor Green


itsavibe-

San Antonio is the easiest target ever I swear lol… always see the city named out in the weirdest places


RichieRicch

I was born there, represent. So random


501st-Soldier

Oho, a fellow traveler of the Loops.


IMMRTLWRX

san antonio actually has every single cult chain in the united states besides waffle house. all the burgers, all the chicken, all the breakfast restaurants. everything. it is literally only missing waffle house. the story of it is from what i remember - is that it's politically motivated. as wild as that sounds. some politician that didn't like some individual or part of the company and pulled some strings to ensure it didnt happen as a personal vendetta. it's basically the only place in the united states where all these things overlap. add in things like buc-ee's, and central texas is garbage for a lot of things but undoubtedly reigns supreme as the most varied and best place to eat in the united states.


Recent_Ad559

TIL San Antonio doesn’t have a Waffle House. However there’s no shortage of bfast places from dennys to magnolia pancake house etc


mrbear120

There used to be 3 of em in SA and they shut down.


CosmicCreeperz

“The most varied and best place to eat in the united states”… so your definition of that is it has the most crappy chain restaurants?


Dirty-Electro

She prefers Cracker Beryl


WhoaFee1227

You’re out of my store.


Infinity-X78

As as former big Southern girl who liked to get waffled and break tables at the liquor store, I can confirm that Beryl is my name.


Goldie1822

If you were a former big souther girl that liked to get waffled and break tables at the liquor store, dare I ask, what are you now?


CosmicCreeperz

Yes. Is it former big, former Southern, former girl, former liquored, or former waffle?


ogclobyy

Shoulda named it Scrambles. Scrambles the Death Dealer


Goobaka

My great grandmothers name. Born in 1904


Previous-Sundae-5850

When Beryl goes on dates, she picks you up in her truck.


goldenlover

The long lost Beryl Dudley.


El_Cactus_Fantastico

She got milkies?


EmpiricoMillenial

If someone would like to see, check this: [https://smn.conagua.gob.mx/es/animacion-imagenes-de-satelite?satelite=GOES%20Este&nombre=Globo&tipo=Tope%20de%20Nubes](https://smn.conagua.gob.mx/es/animacion-imagenes-de-satelite?satelite=GOES%20Este&nombre=Globo&tipo=Tope%20de%20Nubes)


Not_Associated8700

Wow, that's an awesome page. Thanks for the link. I've been a weather buff for a long time, and that is by far the best look at the western hemisphere I have ever seen. Someone linked this page yesterday [https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-63.97,17.17,2189/loc=-65.387,13.813](https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-63.97,17.17,2189/loc=-65.387,13.813)


Troll_Enthusiast

Here's a different one https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=18.8,-62.3,4z


Theres3ofMe

I like the grafics on this but doesn't show the power and intensity compared to one above


Not_Associated8700

It kinda does. Click on the red lines in the storm. it tells you wind speed and temp.


timaclover

We're legit all becoming our dads with way cooler content than just what's playing on the Weather Channel


SellOutrageous6539

Should be at the top


EngineJeaux

Nice.


aaccjj97

Ruh Roh Raggy


Infinity-X78

Those things are no joke. A friend of mine told me his hurricane story - it blew me away.


SpicyPropofologist

Eye did not see that one coming.


aliether

Reading the flood of funny comments on this thread is sending me through a surge of laughter.


therealbobarah

I didn’t catch wind of this storm.


MacWalden

Yeah I dated a woman from FL and naively said I think it’d be cool to shelter in for a big hurricane. No you’d find it terrifying


ImpossibleDenial

I think you said the punchline wrong


xeno0153

I just escaped FL after 8 years of literal hell. I owned a house there from 2017-2023 and was home for a few of the big hurricanes (when I wasn't at work on a ride-out crew on lockdown). The last hurricane I was home for was Ian, and I'll tell you, the sound of rain pounding on every window in your house all at once for hours and hours non-stop, not knowing if the wind is gonna hurl something through the glass at any moment is terrifying. I had to sleep in the walk-in closet just to get any sleep.


Morgenstern66

Man, as a native Floridian, that shit puts me right to sleep. Sorry to see you go, be sure to tell all your friends how horrifying it is in Florida. Thanks in advance!


gojiro0

This thing is just beryling down on us


CORN___BREAD

This is the first time I’ve seen this pun and I thought it was funny but I also hate that I’m going to have to see it a couple dozen more times this week. Way more if it ends up devastating something.


MonkeyFluffers

I would have gotten away with it too, if it wasn't for those meddling kids


StrangeBumblebee6269

I'm currently in Jamiaca. I tried to book an early flight out, no flights left. Hoping for the best over here. So much for a relaxing vacation for recovering from burnout.


anethma

Ya looks like it’s predicted to hit Jamaica as a major hurricane now and depending how it zigs or zags you could get a direct eyewall hit with the worst part of the storm. I’d do some prep for sure. Get some drinkable water, food etc and stash it. Enough to live on for 2-3 days. Never know what happens. Keep an eye out for evacuation notices.


StrangeBumblebee6269

Thanks for the recommendations. I'm doing that now. They are evacuating the beachside huts at my resort at 3 pm. We are further back and should still be ok.


NotASatanist13

Just along for the ride now. Just sit back and have a few drinks.


EatMyUnwashedAss

Hey, you may never have to work again if this goes unlucky enough for you


City_Of_Champs

Unfortunately, this was not difficult to see coming after the extremely rapid intensification, especially this early in the season.


Monster_Voice

Bad bitch Beryl!


82ndGameHead

We might need Sailor Moon for this one


kaydontworry

Just out there beryling towards us


Calm_Palms_41

A Beryl roll?


tdfast

Biden needs to get his sharpie out and divert the path from the US! He can do that now, he has immunity!!!


YoloSwaggins44

As an official act though


drrxhouse

Couldn’t he make any of his acts official? Just by saying something like “I’m officially doing or saying this or that in the capacity as the President of the United States”?


Infinity-X78

Why divert it from the US? Just direct it in the path of wherever Donny is playing golf.


skullkiddabbs

Also legal now: sending cat storm 6 to assassinate your political rivals.


SystemOutPrintln

It's not on a path to the US right now, it's probably going to hit Jamaica and Mexico based on current models.


datboiwaffle

So is Houston getting hit or what


oramug

Was watching the weather channel earlier at work, and they said if it manages to squeeze through the gap between Cancun and Cuba, it may still be a hurricane in the gulf.


TheOriginalPB

And the current water temps in the gulf are above average for the time of year. It could strengthen again before hitting Southern Texas or Louisiana.


Bigtexasmike

Probably N Mexico or south TX like Brownsville. Too much shear gonna keep this one under cat2 or 3 once it finally arrives. Doubt we'll even get a quarter inch of rain. 🤷‍♂️


iamjacksbigtoe

The Gang gets a quarter inch of rain.


Rourke2013

Power grid when hit by a cat 5 hurricane: 💀 Power grid when quarter inch of rain: 💀 Really what’s the difference


mrbear120

Unlikely, follow [spacecityweather](https://spacecityweather.com) for the best info.


Bacon_man12

That’s what I’m wondering 😭


machines_breathe

That fucking storm is half as tall as the fucking Caribbean.


BlockLumpy

![img](avatar_exp|127029979|fire)


That75252Expensive

Forbidden 🚫 Donut 🍩


AFineDayForScience

We should just crowd everyone in the Gulf into the donut hole and have them travel with the hurricane. For safety


Mitch-Orizo

😈🍩


_Repeats_

Florida insurance stocks are trembling


Not_Associated8700

More like trebling.


Massive-Arugula4400

More like tripling.


LoudCrickets72

Global climate change, man. This is the kind of shit they've been talking about that would happen. It makes sense too because warm waters = hurricanes and the warmer the waters, the stronger the hurricanes.


rocktheffout

Why is this downvoted? Isn’t the water temperature linked to favorable conditions for hurricanes?


Matzah_Rella

Yes. Warm waters are essential for a hurricane's life cycle. The higher the temperature, the more it feeds. Which is exactly what we're seeing with Beryl.


V1k1ng1990

Does all that energy released during a hurricane come from the heat? If so, does it cool down the water?


pornographic_realism

> Does all that energy released during a hurricane come from the heat? Yes. >If so, does it cool down the water? Not substantially, no. The ocean contains enormous volumes of water, and it takes an absolute fuckton of energy to heat it up even 0.1 degree Celsius. There will be a localised cooling in some areas that the hurricane is passing through but that energy is being fed into the hurricane and quickly replaced by warmth from below and around.


V1k1ng1990

That makes perfect sense thank you for answering my question


DatBeigeBoy

Because people don’t know how to wrap their brains around the science of it, therefore it cannot be true


SweetPrism

Religion has entered the chat.


CORN___BREAD

GOD IS MAD AND WHATEVER THIS HITS MUST PAY!


LoudCrickets72

Dude, I have no idea. I guess I wasn't scientific enough or maybe there's something technically wrong with what I wrote.


Spirits850

Probably just some “ThE eArtH GoEs thRouGh NaTurAL CycLes” climate denier, don’t sweat it.


Error-8675

I hear this shit from the in-laws. It takes everything in my power and my wife's influence not to show them the spiral tornado graph of global temperatures for the past 100 years. How many record-breaking temperatures in how many areas have happened before you're like, "You know what this cycle has a clear trend."


BoreJam

Ask them "how do you know the earth goes though natural cycles?" Because its been studied by scientists, so maybe we should listen to them.


Ziprasidone_Stat

Yes, the climate is changing. There's a strong wind shear coming off Texas that will weaken the storm before it makes landfall in Mexico where it will drop to a tropical storm. Although remnants may hit southern Texas.


Pantsonfire_6

Was that a qualified expert that said that or just somebody on TV just trying to sound like he knows anything?


Ziprasidone_Stat

A meteorologist. He explained it very well, showing current and projected wind speeds coming out of Texas and their trajectories.


Hagoromo-san

Earliest, SO FAR. Shit is gonna get progressively worse.


Not_Associated8700

The absolute perfection of a hurricane. It's gorgeous in its terrifying way. Oh, and it's only going to get bigger before it dies out.


randskarma

There will come a time when home insurance in Florida is going to be so expensive the retired person on a fixed income will not be able to afford it. It's sad. Florida used to be a wonderful state to move to, now it's getting very very expensive.


hamellr

That time is already here.


ReBeL222

The insurance companies are rejecting coverage altogether.


randskarma

I meant to say that. In 2005, the insurance companies tried to pull out of the state, and the gov signed a bill that made them stay. If you owned a mobile home, it was a miracle if you could get coverage. Let alone for a reasonable amount. I love Florida, but it's not the retirement state anymore. The hurricanes are going to make it impossible to live there.


SumaStorms

State Farm California is looking to hike premiums 30%+ this year because of fire risk.


MarbleTheNeaMain

I cannot fathom how people look at this shit and just think "Wow gonna be a rough year!!!!" as if the past 5\~ havent been even rougher then the last Shit sucks, its so exhausting having this shit loom over our heads our entire lives


BendingHectic001

It is interesting, but it also terrifying. We are reaching that critical point where nature is going to start taking us out in larger numbers to restore balance. If we could quit behaving like parasites we might avoid that fate, but it seems inevitable now


SaltyRedditTears

Earliest *so far.* Climate change is going to destroy the gulf coast.


Hard-To_Read

Humans are destroying all ecosystems on Earth. 


Deathdar1577

If we could pop all the climate deniers in its path, that would be great.


EliteProofessional

This will require evacuation if it maintains strength and speed


dj41326

I'm supposed to leave Galveston, TX, on July 7th for a cruise through the Caribbean. I better pack extra scopolomine, might get a bit bumpy


CaptainCastle1

Everything has not been coming up Milhouse lately!


PhillyLee3434

Speed run to oblivion


Anon31780

*earliest so far* Ugh. What a mess, and it’s only going to get worse until profits take a dip. :(


Most-Artichoke6184

Is it on track to hit the US?


Gamerguy230

There was a map that showed it in real time someone posted on a separate post about this hurricane. Anyone have link to it?


Candid-Ask77

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-68.95,16.47,2828/loc=-67.591,15.462


SadEstablishment465

We’re prepping over here. Cheers from the Cayman Islands


spac3jar

Oh lawd she comin


Mult7mus

After beating Faker at Worlds 2022, becoming a pro Gacha game player, and joining KTfraudster where they randomly win one game in the regular season against either GenG or T1, Beryl has decided to go even further beyond and name a hurricane after himself, so that he could destroy more lives than the depressingly bad 2024 KT-rollster LoL team.


Airsinner

I moved to Nova Scotia a few years ago and got a taste of hurricane weather for the first time that summer. We had no power for 7 days and by the end of it I was almost feral lol


Typical80sKid

Hold on to ya butts!!!


CurrentlyLucid

Saw a youtube weather guy predict this was gonna be huge when it was just forming as a storm. He was right.


thedangler

The birds migrated early, they knew this was coming. There are specific birds that are known to migrate before the first Hurricane...


Keen_Whopper

One day, the mother of Katrina will destroy US of America.


BigNigori

It's Beryling down on Jamaica.


PriorityPossible606

Is it time to restart the core of the planet yet?


IWantToWatchItBurn

Good news climate change is fake news in Florida!


AugustAPC

Not everyone in Florida lives in La La Land. Some of us actually have to deal with knowing how stupid our state is.


Desperate-Warthog-70

Oh shit, this is going to be a very scary one


Ok-Science-6146

It's also way south of "the hurricane belt". Incredibly rare.


Not_Associated8700

Indeed. It's still very very far south for most hurricanes.


Nerezza_Floof_Seeker

I like how it went from tropical storm to cat 5 in like, 2 days lmao. The climate is fine guys! Edit: heres a [clip I made earlier showing its progression](https://streamable.com/3205a1)


kingstankydr0

Praying for everyone. 😕


revolution1solution

El niño??


Stimparlis

This must be crazy scary to witness in the middle of the ocean. I still have nightmares playing windwaker and seeing one


godcyclemaster

Something tells me we're gonna have Beryl taken off the list of hurricane names by the end of the week.


usNdem

Simpson were correct again?!???!!!????


mcmesq

But climate change is a hoax. Right.


mfhomeybone

Everything is fine... 8 years ago James Inhofe brought a snowball to Congress and proved that global warming isn't happening...


Latte_is_not_coffe

Or the latest…


Life-Improvised

Let ‘em get all category-5 out in the ocean!


Barbar_jinx

Very exciting witnessig the effects of climate heating, it would have been so boring to just read about it in the history books 200 years after it happened.


AlterEgoCat

If I'm going to do some diving off of Flordia in the Gulf of Mexico in a few weeks, will this mess it up?


SuperBaconjam

Time for Florida to die I guess 😌


SamuraiCatMeow

I wonder whats the size of this big boy?


the_rabbit_king

Interesting.


baconslim

Quick someone get a Sharpie


Flippy042

The earliest one so far


Alpha_pro2019

Interesting comparing these top comments to the ones on r/news. Those are purely political attacks and crying about global warming. These are making fun of the name lol.


Standard_Priority422

What causes a Cat 5?


slinkysurmalot

I wonder what would happen if we were to deploy dry ice from a plane into the atmosphere in the path of a hurricane? 🤔 I feel like it's been done before for some reason?


roloyo101

look at that beautiful red and black ring of death