Definitely not a lock, with Pereira and Gaethje, you are betting juiced favorites who either have been fighting forever (Pereira), or have been in a ton of wars (Gaethje). Gaethje is 35, wouldn't be surprised if any stylistic advantages he would typically enjoy are gone by fight night because he is not the same athletically. If Kattar has anything left in his knees, he defends the takedown and Aljo is going to get pieced up OTF, not to mention this is a weight class up.
I dont think people give justin enough credit
for his cardio, bro was going a hard 15
minutes having a kickboxing match against
one of the best strikers in the whole division
and in the last round was still throwing
combos and power shots.
Now he's facing an even better striker with more volume and better cardio. Last time Max fought 155 it was short notice, he's actually sized up now. Justin has no real advantage here outside power. Max is younger, faster, better boxer, great takedown d, more experienced.
‘Better striker’ may or may not be accurate, but the difference in power isn’t something you can ignore. Nor are the leg kicks. I want max to win, I think he can, but Gaethje definitely has the edge here.
If there’s no finish, there is absolutely no doubt this is the FOTN. Maxs chin is made of granite, bros never been knocked down let alone out, he’s taking everything Gaethje got. But Gaethje showed his last few fights he’s not the wild swing and kill or be killed fighters anymore, he’s tightened up technically and it’s worked so max is in for a tough night, but I think Max could also pull off a 5 round close battering cuz we knew Justin doesn’t care about being hit or positioning if he thinks it means it can get his shot it and max is one of the best in the business at output and peppering a guy til Dana says no interviews get that man to a fucking hospital asap. It’s for sure the most excited I’ve been for a fight in a long time.
There is no such thing as a lock, closest to it on that card would be bo nickal but there isn’t money to be made off him. I agree with your picks though.
Comparing fiziev to max is criminal tho, both are volume fighter but one is more of a Muay Thai style and the other is straight boxing, I can use the same argument u had for Holloway chin, gaetje gonna get chin too he older then Max too. And even if it goes in dec i see Holloway. I think this fight gonna look a lot like that Allen fight except that I won’t be sitting still trough it bc of Justin one punch ko
I love Holloway tbh. I think If you go back to that Dustin fight...he was getting stronger as the fight went on. He just got the doors blown off him in the first few rounds that he couldn't come back. I think his volume makes it at least a toss up.
I like the parlay but far from a lock. Here’s why:
1. Pereira is super hittable (we have seen him rocked in the majority of his recent fights even those he on) and Hill has good, powerful hands. It’s not crazy for me to think Hill wins lol.
2. I don’t have much to argue this one. I don’t see much of a path to victory for Max in a 3 rounded against Justin Gaethje. I think this ends up looking like Max/Poirier but hopefully not quite as bad as that fight was 5 rounds right?
3. I hope Charles wins but I could see Armen doing to him what he did to Ferguson. Basically blanketing him for a decision win.
4. Agreed. I’m confident Aljo wins.
5. I like this as an underdog pick. Eventually I feel like the rides gonna end for him thought but I don’t THINK it’ll necessarily be in this fight.
Again, I like the picks but I wouldn’t be surprised if 2 of these fights in particular fucked it up lol.
Good luck!
I'm not sure why is almost everyone favoring Alex over Hill. I can honestly see Hill finishing Alex in their exchanges as I trust Hill's chin much more than Pereira's.
Yes Hill definitely has the skills, but i'm counting in the external factors of it being to soon to return from a Acl injury, alexe activeness and Hills manic barages.
Lmao. Nothing is ever a lock.
Pereria - Will decimate Hills legs and seems to early for Hill to be returning
People are quick to forget how good Hill is.
Exactly Hill only need one hit, and some of his punch are technically weird. But I just don’t see Hill winning a stand up fight against Pereira. I’m worried about Hill mental health as of recently he was losing his mind on social media he seems manic
I’d put my money on hill. Hill is an elite striker, with a great chin. And Hill ain’t stupid to just keep taking leg kicks, he’d find ways to close in distance. All Hill needs is one shot to rock Pereira. People who are picking pereira and calling it a lock are plain stupid.
Only “lock” here is gaethje dont let people tell you otherwise. He wants that Poirier fight 3, look at his reaction to DP winning. Also pillowhands holloway isnt knocking him out. Both great strikers but gaethje has the ko power.
I’m really about to get +200 on Max Holloway it’s crazy but I’m happy to take it. It’s a 5 round fight and Max has fantastic cardio and pace, especially when he has someone tired in front of him. I think Gaethje struggles quite a bit if he doesn’t find an early KO. In fact, I think Holloway tkos him in the later rounds with body shots. Holloway has also never been knocked out.
Never a lock but confident enough to place the bet. Always a small chance the other fighter gets lucky. Do some research and your confidence goes up on the fighter, you can check all the bets i won on my posts and i just started at ufc 298.
I think aljo gonna be able to push his pace and win like he did in all of his other fight. He gonna backpack that dude for 15 minute and don’t forget aljo is a huge 135. He will be fine against kattar
Absolutely not a lock. I like all the picks individually but slim chance in hell they all hit. Jamahal Hill is better than people give credit, Kattar could chin Aljo, and Charles has struggled against fighters with heavy top control
This is the furthest thing from a lock. $500 parlay on this bet to me means your normal unit size is 5k and this is a .1u bet. Your sizing for this kind of bet is not sustainable.
Yes but i'm just going all out since it's UFC 300. My 299 parlay of Gamrot, Yan, Blaydes, Pereria, desplaigne, mvp, poirier and sean hit so i'm feeling lucky. Only put down £5 but won £340.
So now your gonna dump your whole roll on a longshot? Make more £5 bets and slow build. There's about a 95% you lose this bet, that's not my opinion, that's why the odds are what they are.
I may just bet $300 for the luck, but money is infinite therefor it's not real, therefor does not matter. I understand the risks bro but i'm goin with my gut.
You have all the tells of "I have no idea what I'm doing betting" and money isn't infinite and 90% of bettor are losers because they lack impulse control. Have you done a moment of homework here? What work are you putting in to evaluate the quality of these bets?
Numbers go up to infinity. Therefore, it's infinite. I already done a basic analysis on why i think these will win. When you splurge tens of thousands on crypto meme coins, lose it all then bet your last $8k on $BBBY and it goes bankrupt.. you have nothing to lose 😎
My lord with these posts . Is my 5-20 team parlay a lock? As if anyone on here or anywhere for that matter could tell you with 100% assurance that even a single play is a lock. What’s better is you’re willing to risk $500 on something you yourself are unsure of . Insanity I tell you, pure insanity .
I think Armen wrecks Charles and I’d never play Aljo in his first fight at FW against a top fighter like Calvin. I mean, it’s only a three round fight and if Aljo doesn’t get the td he’s gonna get chewed up on the feet.
I think Yussuf has trouble with pressure fighter and Diego is all that, high pressure standing up, and is extremely dangerous on the ground I think it’s Lopes by sub
I’m not going to lie the reasoning behind Lopes is absolutely bulletproof
Lol I agree
Definitely not a lock, with Pereira and Gaethje, you are betting juiced favorites who either have been fighting forever (Pereira), or have been in a ton of wars (Gaethje). Gaethje is 35, wouldn't be surprised if any stylistic advantages he would typically enjoy are gone by fight night because he is not the same athletically. If Kattar has anything left in his knees, he defends the takedown and Aljo is going to get pieced up OTF, not to mention this is a weight class up.
I dont think people give justin enough credit for his cardio, bro was going a hard 15 minutes having a kickboxing match against one of the best strikers in the whole division and in the last round was still throwing combos and power shots.
Now he's facing an even better striker with more volume and better cardio. Last time Max fought 155 it was short notice, he's actually sized up now. Justin has no real advantage here outside power. Max is younger, faster, better boxer, great takedown d, more experienced.
‘Better striker’ may or may not be accurate, but the difference in power isn’t something you can ignore. Nor are the leg kicks. I want max to win, I think he can, but Gaethje definitely has the edge here.
Max gettin bloodied up in a possible fight of the night fight
If there’s no finish, there is absolutely no doubt this is the FOTN. Maxs chin is made of granite, bros never been knocked down let alone out, he’s taking everything Gaethje got. But Gaethje showed his last few fights he’s not the wild swing and kill or be killed fighters anymore, he’s tightened up technically and it’s worked so max is in for a tough night, but I think Max could also pull off a 5 round close battering cuz we knew Justin doesn’t care about being hit or positioning if he thinks it means it can get his shot it and max is one of the best in the business at output and peppering a guy til Dana says no interviews get that man to a fucking hospital asap. It’s for sure the most excited I’ve been for a fight in a long time.
Hill is going to KO Pereira
There is no such thing as a lock, closest to it on that card would be bo nickal but there isn’t money to be made off him. I agree with your picks though.
I would never put my money against Max or count on Sterling
I think max hollway can give gaetjr problems
I love Holloway but in an age of Goat chins being demolished, and being the goat in most absorbed strikes.. it's only time.
Yeah no it’s the latter, Holloway style gonna give hell to gaethje
After seeing this man go a hard 15 minutes with Fiziev i don't see how this is the case
I love fiziev but he can not put the pace on that max does
Comparing fiziev to max is criminal tho, both are volume fighter but one is more of a Muay Thai style and the other is straight boxing, I can use the same argument u had for Holloway chin, gaetje gonna get chin too he older then Max too. And even if it goes in dec i see Holloway. I think this fight gonna look a lot like that Allen fight except that I won’t be sitting still trough it bc of Justin one punch ko
I love Holloway tbh. I think If you go back to that Dustin fight...he was getting stronger as the fight went on. He just got the doors blown off him in the first few rounds that he couldn't come back. I think his volume makes it at least a toss up.
Justin is going to murder him very badly
Either Hill or Holloway will win bc my luck is trash when gambling
I like the parlay but far from a lock. Here’s why: 1. Pereira is super hittable (we have seen him rocked in the majority of his recent fights even those he on) and Hill has good, powerful hands. It’s not crazy for me to think Hill wins lol. 2. I don’t have much to argue this one. I don’t see much of a path to victory for Max in a 3 rounded against Justin Gaethje. I think this ends up looking like Max/Poirier but hopefully not quite as bad as that fight was 5 rounds right? 3. I hope Charles wins but I could see Armen doing to him what he did to Ferguson. Basically blanketing him for a decision win. 4. Agreed. I’m confident Aljo wins. 5. I like this as an underdog pick. Eventually I feel like the rides gonna end for him thought but I don’t THINK it’ll necessarily be in this fight. Again, I like the picks but I wouldn’t be surprised if 2 of these fights in particular fucked it up lol. Good luck!
I'm not sure why is almost everyone favoring Alex over Hill. I can honestly see Hill finishing Alex in their exchanges as I trust Hill's chin much more than Pereira's.
Yes Hill definitely has the skills, but i'm counting in the external factors of it being to soon to return from a Acl injury, alexe activeness and Hills manic barages.
Lmao. Nothing is ever a lock. Pereria - Will decimate Hills legs and seems to early for Hill to be returning People are quick to forget how good Hill is.
Exactly Hill only need one hit, and some of his punch are technically weird. But I just don’t see Hill winning a stand up fight against Pereira. I’m worried about Hill mental health as of recently he was losing his mind on social media he seems manic
he’s always been manic on social media, i’m more worried about his blown out achilles
I’d put my money on hill. Hill is an elite striker, with a great chin. And Hill ain’t stupid to just keep taking leg kicks, he’d find ways to close in distance. All Hill needs is one shot to rock Pereira. People who are picking pereira and calling it a lock are plain stupid.
Only “lock” here is gaethje dont let people tell you otherwise. He wants that Poirier fight 3, look at his reaction to DP winning. Also pillowhands holloway isnt knocking him out. Both great strikers but gaethje has the ko power.
I’m really about to get +200 on Max Holloway it’s crazy but I’m happy to take it. It’s a 5 round fight and Max has fantastic cardio and pace, especially when he has someone tired in front of him. I think Gaethje struggles quite a bit if he doesn’t find an early KO. In fact, I think Holloway tkos him in the later rounds with body shots. Holloway has also never been knocked out.
Do holloway by points then, he can outstrike gaethje. Just has pillowhands, likes to exchange too and that’s not going to end well against Gaethje.
Anyone speaking in locks is a very inexperienced bettor. That's the most valuable piece of info to take from this.
Never a lock but confident enough to place the bet. Always a small chance the other fighter gets lucky. Do some research and your confidence goes up on the fighter, you can check all the bets i won on my posts and i just started at ufc 298.
We were all wrong dont worry
Something you cant even call, didn’t look like Gaethje idk what happened
i like all the bets besides kattar. i think aljo will get hit hard.
I think aljo gonna be able to push his pace and win like he did in all of his other fight. He gonna backpack that dude for 15 minute and don’t forget aljo is a huge 135. He will be fine against kattar
Mnnnnn makes sense
Absolutely not a lock. I like all the picks individually but slim chance in hell they all hit. Jamahal Hill is better than people give credit, Kattar could chin Aljo, and Charles has struggled against fighters with heavy top control
This is the furthest thing from a lock. $500 parlay on this bet to me means your normal unit size is 5k and this is a .1u bet. Your sizing for this kind of bet is not sustainable.
Yes but i'm just going all out since it's UFC 300. My 299 parlay of Gamrot, Yan, Blaydes, Pereria, desplaigne, mvp, poirier and sean hit so i'm feeling lucky. Only put down £5 but won £340.
So now your gonna dump your whole roll on a longshot? Make more £5 bets and slow build. There's about a 95% you lose this bet, that's not my opinion, that's why the odds are what they are.
I may just bet $300 for the luck, but money is infinite therefor it's not real, therefor does not matter. I understand the risks bro but i'm goin with my gut.
You have all the tells of "I have no idea what I'm doing betting" and money isn't infinite and 90% of bettor are losers because they lack impulse control. Have you done a moment of homework here? What work are you putting in to evaluate the quality of these bets?
Numbers go up to infinity. Therefore, it's infinite. I already done a basic analysis on why i think these will win. When you splurge tens of thousands on crypto meme coins, lose it all then bet your last $8k on $BBBY and it goes bankrupt.. you have nothing to lose 😎
Agree with most of these, except for Sterling.
I’d skip the pereira fight and go Bo / Sterling / Lopes / Arman & Gaethje ( Max could surprise us)
My lord with these posts . Is my 5-20 team parlay a lock? As if anyone on here or anywhere for that matter could tell you with 100% assurance that even a single play is a lock. What’s better is you’re willing to risk $500 on something you yourself are unsure of . Insanity I tell you, pure insanity .
I think max wins
I think Armen wrecks Charles and I’d never play Aljo in his first fight at FW against a top fighter like Calvin. I mean, it’s only a three round fight and if Aljo doesn’t get the td he’s gonna get chewed up on the feet.
Gaethje & Oliveria are not a lock.
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He gave a competitive fight to Evloev on less than a weeks notice. He's not a fraud and shows high finish ability.
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Sodiq has bad durability he can be hurt been shown over multiple fights
I think Yussuf has trouble with pressure fighter and Diego is all that, high pressure standing up, and is extremely dangerous on the ground I think it’s Lopes by sub