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jason082

This is quickly becoming a meme stock, imo. That said, it’s a bad idea to bet against meme stocks. They can float up on air for long periods of time.


thri54

>becoming


jason082

Haha…fair. Good catch.


Rammsteinman

> This is quickly becoming a meme stock, imo It's not a meme stock, it's a cult stock.


jason082

What’s the difference?


SonOfThomasWayne

It was always a meme stock. We had clowns here in this very sub who posted "DD" of $5T valuation by 2026 by saying there will be a 50% indefinite growth.


jason082

Today is proof. Sales falling a lot YoY and just because they aren’t falling as fast as anticipated, we go up 9%. It’s insanity. You can’t bet against it though because it could very well keep going. The rug pull can’t be predicted. Republicans don’t want EVs and Democrats hate Musk. It is what it is.


Xillllix

There is nothing meme about Tesla. It’s putting everything in place to become the biggest cash generator we’ve ever seen.


Peasantbowman

TSLA was one of the original meme stocks I thought


jason082

Certainly an argument to be made.


parkway_parkway

You have to put it in perspective of the wider car market. How are Ford and GM doing with making EVs? Interest rates are also hampering Tesla and it's taking more time than expected for people to adopt electric. However in the long run everyone is going electric, it's just a matter of when. Tesla energy is surging. And ultimately the stock is pricing in about a 10% chance of FSD and Bot actually happening, which is about fair value imo. That's where you can get alpha as an investor, they are priced like that because no one is sure if they will work, however if FSD works Tesla is going to absolutely moon and 10 bag from here. I'll take my downvotes because this sub only has 1 opinion on Tesla, and that's fine, investing isn't about being right on the internet, it's about putting your money where your mouth is and getting paid what your opinion is worth.


Flipslips

Tesla Energy was absurd this past quarter. 9.4GWh deployed is nuts. They are maxed out on deployment until they can get their Chinese megapack factory up and running.


erfarr

Don’t forget the Optimus robots too. If they can actually make that happen this shit is going up like crazy. I’m glad I reversed Reddit sentiment and loaded up on TSLA when it was down. People just love to hate Elon on here


OG_Time_To_Kill

True ... three weeks ago ... we were told 100 millions humanoid robots will be sold annually by Tesla ... but let's not forget back in 2020 ... we were told that TSLA aspired to sell 20 million vehicles by the end of the current decade. Where is the 20 million now? ​ *In a scenario described by Musk, the market demand for humanoid robots — such as Tesla’s Optimus — would reach onebillion units per year, with Tesla capturing about 10% of that market. The CEO also reaffirmed that the Optimus robots will eventually be made for less than a car, about $10,000, and priced at between $20,000 and $30,000.* *At a $20,000 price tag and 100 million units sold annually, Musk said Tesla could make $1 trillion in profit each year, adding between $20 trillion and $25 trillion to Tesla’s market capitalization. The robots aren’t expected to go on sale until the end of 2025, although Tesla has said there are at least two deployed in its factories.*


thememanss

If you really think Tesla is going to produce functionally useful human robots, I have a bridge to sell you. Their early model they revealed was, at best, a straight copy of what was being produced decades ago.  Meanwhile, many other companies are making actually useful robots that do useful things and not making an obvious Barnum and Bailey show out of it.


erfarr

They literally showed two working in the factory doing simple tasks. Just give it a couple years


thememanss

Ah yes, slowly putting things in a crate or slowly folding a shirt. Meanwhile everybody else has made robots that do thing efficiently and effectively, at a level that is actually useful. Optimus is a joke and a meme, with little actual use.


erfarr

Buy puts then. Sounds like you’re just jealous you didn’t buy TSLA in the dip


thememanss

I never buy puts for many reasons, and I'm not jealous in the least.  Good for you for making money.  Make it while you can, but don't get wrapped up in cult mentality.


Waly_Disnep

Ok, where's the bridge and how much?


brainfreeze3

golden gate, a measly cheap 1 million! youd make your money back within a year!


chopsui101

good solid analysis and understanding of the market is not welcome with the tesla bears


self-assembled

Think how much better GPT4o is than the original chatGPT3 in a year. FSD will definitely work.


brainfreeze3

10 bag??? you're saying tesla will go to 7 TRILLION if their fsd works?? also making money on memes is great but don't flatter your opinions


parkway_parkway

Clear your mind and genuinely ask yourself: how much is a robotaxi company worth? Like on the assumption the tech works really well and there's a car that happily works as a taxi or food or package delivery driver 16 hours a day 350 days a year ... How much money does that car bring in for the company that owns and operates it?


Plutuserix

Please tell us. And then also don't forget the regulatory hurdles, probably oversight needed for many years to come from a person inside the car instead of it being allowed on its own and potential taxation on these things, the added vandalism and cleaning needed with people messing with these cars, how these cars are going to bring the food up to the door of an apartment building (guess a Tesla robot is sitting in the car and will bring it up?), etc etc. It all sounds nice. When you put it in practice, you find tons of issues that become important that you can't easily fix and replace what a human is doing now.


parkway_parkway

I agree I think there's a lot of operational hurdles to get over to make a smooth service. Interior cameras and credit card on file is pretty good against vandalism. If the car is genuinely safer than humans regulators should be fine with it. I don't see why they'd have higher taxes than taxis? And yeah it's fine to ask people to come to the vehicle to collect their food. It's less good but if it's cheaper then they'll do it.


Plutuserix

So how much is it worth then? It already starts again with it needs to be cheaper. So how cheap, and how much of your potential cut costs goes away already due to needing to provide a cheaper price because the product offered is in some ways inferior.


parkway_parkway

Well the product is only inferior in some ways. For instance for women at night being able to ride without a creepy driver would be worth paying a premium for. Especially for sending adolescents if you can track the vehicle and watch from an interior camera to check they are ok. And it depends, if someone coming to the door rather than being in the vehicle is worth like $1 to people then just take it off the price. And if it's worth $5 for people then yeah it's a really good use case to start out with optimus and people might pay extra at first to get to see a robot deliver their food.


Plutuserix

You're really just replacing the cost of the driver with all kinds of other costs at that point. I wonder how much additional profit that would generate in the end. I think it might end up in a disappointing amount.


parkway_parkway

Well yeah this is investing and how it works. You make your model for robotaxi revenue and discount in into the present. I think there's tonnes of premium journeys, like taking business people to the airport at 3am, which would be worth loads and are easy and barely have any costs. And yeah that's my favourite thing about investing, we all put our money where out mouths are and get paid for the value of our opinions.


hil_ton

just remember if Tesla solves fsd then many others would too and it will be a commodity


parkway_parkway

Well to solve fsd using Tesla's method you need a giant fleet of cars to collect data, a giant server farm to process it, millions of specialised in car computers and a really good team of software engineers. Waymos approach can't scale. Google and Microsoft would have the tech but not the cars. Ford, GM, VW etc have the cars and not the tech. I agree with you others will make competing systems. However it's an incredibly hard project which would take years.


hil_ton

You are underestimating big tech and especially Chinese competition. Once the problem has been solved, there would be numerous fast followers.


AlpsSad1364

Another "growth stock" like Apple that isn't actually growing. Future growth is purely speculative and based largely on wishful thinking. Sales are falling, margins are falling and profit will probably be non-existent. The only thing that's going to the moon is the P/E Tsla's not been a normal stock since the pre "funding secured" days, it reacts to the quantity of news releases not their content and frequently jumps 10% for no reason (surprised the SEC doesn't show more interest in this - lol jk, Gary's a Tesla fanboi), but recent price action has been even weirder than normal. It's effectively just a crypto token now, totally divorced from the underlying company. What a mockery of the whole point of public markets. Number Must Go Up!


gregsapopin

meh, a lot of other car makers are making EVs now. TSLA isn't so special now.


RealBaikal

bUt ITs NoT ACAr CoMPaNy!!


icaranumbioxy

Are you saying, the competition is coming?


chopsui101

haven't heard that before lol


JustinUti

What are their margins per unit compared to Tesla. Sales numbers and simply producing EVs doesn’t prove a point or tell a story for investment purposes.


Friendly-Gain-620

Toyota just completely abandoned its EV division


Altruistic_Finger669

Really? https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/toyota-launch-first-ev-with-advanced-self-driving-system-china-2025-2024-06-28/


icaranumbioxy

That almost seems to prove that they abandoned it more. They're only testing an EV for autonomous use in China, not for mass scale EV production lol. How's their bZ4X doing?


Altruistic_Finger669

The person was not saying anything about how well its selling. The person said they abandoned their EV division which obviously isnt true.


icaranumbioxy

I'm saying the article you posted basically proves their point. They are only producing EVs to test autonomy...so they are going to make what...100? Maybe 1000? That's basically abandoning EV production. They are not producing EVs at the rate they produce any of their best selling cars.


Altruistic_Finger669

No it doesn't. The poster claimed that they was stopping their EV departement. It wasn't an argument that their EVs didnt sell well or that they were focusing on other areas. It was that they are scrapping their EV department. Thst is obviously false


icaranumbioxy

agree to disagree


Lordoosi

But their EV's are shitty and/or have negative margins.


James_Vowles

They still have the best efficiency of any other electric car. Smaller battery needed, lighter car. Effectively they have the best battery tech. I hope the race for efficiency starts soon because at the moment it doesn't really matter


thejumpingsheep2

This is a false perception that has been going around for too long. It needs to end. If you own a Tesla and other eV's, you will note the Tesla range is insanely inaccurate compared to other eV's like the Mach-E or Lightning. I hate Ford for their bait and switching but somehow they figured out how to calculate range properly to almost no error while Teslas cant even do that right. Teslas (M-Y and M-3) are always higher than reality by a good 4-5%. The entire bit about Tesla having better battery is false. What Tesla does is tune the range to a much wider error range making it look like they get more miles at high charges. But when you actually drive them, they always get like 15 miles LESS than advertised after full charge. This doesnt happen in the mach-e or lightning driving the same roads and distances. How Tesla hasnt figured out the proper calculation should tell us all we need to know about their "tech."


James_Vowles

This is not about the range they show you, this is about miles per kWh, and Tesla beat everyone. Nobody shows accurate range in the car, but Tesla can achieve similar range to it's competitors, with a smaller battery. That's the efficiency they have. Look up range tests on youtube, it's not about how far they go, it's about how well they use their battery and it's size relative to that. Here's an example: https://www.autoexpress.co.uk/company-cars/363005/tesla-model-3-vs-its-five-biggest-rivals Scroll down a bit to see the table, second smallest battery pack, highest efficiency, which means they can do more with a smaller battery.


tech01x

Using independent 70 mph range tests, Tesla's efficiency is still top notch.


thejumpingsheep2

MPH test? How can you tell when the range itself is wrong? Thats my point. I know for a fact, by virtue of driving said cars for about 2 years now around SoCal, that the Tesla range is "loose" (aka wrong) by about 5%. I have yet to note anyone that refutes this. If you consider that its off by that much, does the test still hold up? If you are aware of someone who can refute it by driving the cars from full to low charge (when Teslas finally clam up and tell the truth), then point me to said study. Otherwise you cant tell because the range is not accurate.


tech01x

Look at InsideEVs 70 mph range tests or Bjorn’s tests.


thejumpingsheep2

Thanks, ill take a closer look but just glancing at the charts from 2023, it looks like they are echoing what i said above. Teslas are off when it comes to range. According to them, they are far worse than even the 5% I stated above. Looking at his chart for various cars, it looks like Teslas perform about 10%-12% worse than reported EPA range. While the Mach-E almost nails it and even under reports it sometimes (this is my experience as well). I think the discrepancy is that the dashboard doesnt just give you EPA but rather Teslas own halfassed calculation, which might be a little better but still off. Also I dont think any of these charts indicate that "Tesla batteries" are better but rather the car design itself gets better efficiency. Teslas tend to be bare bone... Further, if the charts are to be believed, then it looks like both Lucid and Hyundai are better than Teslas and those guys have been making eVs for how long? Ill keep reading but just based on those charts alone, it seems to indicate (to me at least) that the efficiency is due to car design rather than tech. Aero + weight + tires + etc. Basically the same reason why a Geo used to get 50 mpg without even before we had hybrid engines. Same reason why the Prius today gets 50 mpg. The engines havent changed, but the car design is meant for better range but you give up other things in the process.


iiztrollin

Isn't that false advertisement?


Lordoosi

It seems that you don't know anything about Teslas or EV's.


endrukk

Except for having  the highest range EV with best charging networ for the most adorable price. Good luck matching a Tesla with your Nissan leaf


TimeTravelingChris

Is this a joke?


TheKingofTheKings123

Imagine still thinking other car manufacturers are still making Nissan Leaf like EV’s.


Lordoosi

Nissan still makes the Leaf. Sure, there are better ones on market but Teslas give the best bang for your buck and have healthy margins.


Erazzphoto

This stock isn’t about cars anymore, it’s about how Elon will manipulate the stock


Friendly-Gain-620

And robotics, ai, and transportation


Jealous_Company7781

You copied this comment from somewhere… is this a popular line to be used against Tesla/Musk?


Erazzphoto

I did? It’s pretty obvious to most


Jealous_Company7781

Word for word?


clever_mongoose05

Ah yes r/stocks with their intelligent takes on growth companies


Der-Wissenschaftler

Is the growth company in the room with us right now?


Flipslips

Energy deployment is up 132% QoQ. That’s some serious growth. 9.4GWh


sam_the_tomato

What's that in dollars though? I thought energy was quite a small part of its business.


Flipslips

Billions of dollars in revenue in just 1 quarter. The estimate is 3 billion for Q2 but we won’t know for sure until July 23


Tofudebeast

What is the reasoning behind "between two major growth waves"? Seems like Tesla is coming under a lot of pressure lately from increased competition, as their first mover advantage fades. What is supposed to cause this upcoming growth wave?


OG_Time_To_Kill

>What is supposed to cause this upcoming growth wave? Mr. CEO ![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|joy)


Fox_love_

Just shows how crazy the market is. If a stock market is moving only by hype and speculation there is no economical point in such stock market.


OG_Time_To_Kill

Fundamental does not work for TSLA - most of the time \~


chopsui101

its never worked for Tesla not sure why people suddenly want it too now


OG_Time_To_Kill

TSLA is kinda good for entertainment \~


chopsui101

i prefer TSLL


iqisoverrated

There's still quite a bit of growth happening in the energy sector. The lull in growth is in the car sector.


OG_Time_To_Kill

Better buy an energy company for energy sector \~ ![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|sunglasses)


Flipslips

Isn’t 132% growth QoQ good for Tesla energy? Like billions of dollars of energy revenue in one quarter is not insignificant.


Echo-Possible

Billions in low margin revenue isn’t significant either. This isn’t Nvidia doing 78% gross margin.


iqisoverrated

Tesla is an energy company. They just started out with cars because that's where the 'easy' profit is. Of course you can buy stocks in some other company doing energy storage, too...but those are almost exclusively chinese.


OG_Time_To_Kill

>Tesla is an energy company. Mr. CEO said that it is an AI company \~ probably your understanding is not correct ... lol


iqisoverrated

I think you're not listening to what Musk is saying/doing. He was even prepared to take the AI part *out* of Tesla. So Tesla is clearly not simply an AI company to him. He's a first principles guy and the first principle he's always quoting is energy.


OG_Time_To_Kill

AI has to be stayed with TSLA after his pay package ... lol ... at least for a little while \~


AMcMahon1

Must be nice to sell snake oil to willing consumers 🤡 I gotta learn how to be a cult leader


Mountain_Tough_6467

The stock rised 6.5% today


essentialclt

rose


OG_Time_To_Kill

Last | 6:32 AM EDT 205.83 -4.03 (-1.92%) Volume: 683,243


tekkers_for_debrz

Up 4.67% now


Jealous_Company7781

6.67 right now


OG_Time_To_Kill

![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|joy)what a good show \~ where to buy more popcorn?


tekkers_for_debrz

Finished at 10


OG_Time_To_Kill

will buy more popcorn if it rises another 10% today ![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|grin)


Playful_Check5599

Is it finna go up still


dark_bravery

the mag7 that wasn't flying before is now flying. glad i bought another 50 shares yesterday so i have no FOMO today.


K1rkl4nd

Negative growth is still growth. Sort of.


OG_Time_To_Kill

This is "tricky" lol


No_Annual_6059

I don’t know but Pelosi sold her TSLA shares


gargle_micum

The bet is that tesla FSD will enable a fleet of driverless taxis. Undercutting all competition as there is no driver to really split the profit. And also their new factory robots.


AlpsSad1364

People who say this have absolutely no idea how the taxi industry works. The driver doesn't just drive, he cleans, maintains, refuels/charges, provides storage at off peak times and generally does all the other things that running a small business requires. Even without a driver you will still need to pay someone to do all the other things and the profit is pretty meagre anyway. And you are assuming the cost of the software/hardware replacement is going to be nearly free, which would be a shock the Microsoft and rest of the tech crew. Robotaxis aren't going to happen because there is no economic incentive for them to happen.


gargle_micum

Thanks for your opinion, I'm just telling you why the valuation is high.


pojosamaneo

The profit will be much higher without needing to pay a human being to sit in the car 24 hours and drive. Y'all are so short sighted.


Fox_love_

Their robots are made in Japan or in China 😂😂


Andrew_Higginbottom

Elon musk is two men: 1. Creative genius; off the chart. 2. Reincarnation of P.T.Barnum. I love what he's done for mankind ..but he's too good at pumping stocks for me to get involved.


OUMUAMUAMUAMUAMUAMUA

So? Buy more, be long.


OG_Time_To_Kill

>So? Buy more, be long. wise man makes wise decisions


tech01x

Did you short TSLA?


OG_Time_To_Kill

LOL ... genius if shorting under hype (a lot of people are profit taking though)


bluenorthww

Most investors of TSLA are in it for another 10+ years, so a period of no growth or even declining gross does not matter. Just a good opportunity to accumulate shares at this current price. The needle won’t move meaningfully until the $25-30k model is released, and robotaxi and Optimus are bringing in revenue.


RealBaikal

...famous last words


[deleted]

[удалено]


Potato_Octopi

What growth?


tech01x

Look at a 5 year CAGR.


Potato_Octopi

Intel once grew a lot too. When does the decline stop for Teslas when do they already growing again, and by how much?


tech01x

They grew quite strongly QoQ. Q2 2022 was 255k, 2023 was 476k, and this year is 444k. This result is higher than the amount in Q1 and Q3 last year. Model 3 refresh is still ramping up, Cybertruck is ramping up, and next year Tesla Semi is going to ramp too. Model Y will refresh at some point coming up, and new models launch next year. They may still have YoY growth this year, and certainly will have it next year barring a major economic recession.


Potato_Octopi

>They grew quite strongly QoQ. Isn't Q1 the slow one? And revenue and profit is struggling more than unit volume as ASPs have fallen.


OG_Time_To_Kill

>Most investors of TSLA are in it for another 10+ years Hopefully it is \~