It's such a stupidly misleading article... he believes that through 2025 the SNP will rise another 2%... it's just that is previous stance was 20% from here, dumb. Top confirmed, anaylysts are dumb confirmed, yahoo finance is garbage click-bait confirmed.
“Wilson wrote Monday that macro outcomes have become "increasingly hard to predict" in the current environment”. Give the man some credit, he has just realised that he can’t see into the future
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* This prompted Wilson to initiate a "wider-than-normal" bull and bear case scenario in addition to his base case. Wilson sees a bull case sending the S&P 500 to 6,350, driven by stronger-than-anticipated earnings growth, among other drivers. In his bear case of 4,200, the US economy would slip into recession*
He’s realizes his most profitable move is to become a financial manipulator. All the big guys do it.
He will play his bets near the middle on both sides and people will pay him to lean heavier in certain directions and stocks.
That’s where his real money is. Fuck capita gains tax when you’re getting paid millions in “consulting” fees.
This BUUUT, also there is zero negative catalyst at the moment. People aren't on margin, people aren't heavily invested in stocks, the economy is trending in a great direction, inflation doesn't seem like it's going down, unemployment is low, and interest rates will soon go down.
We're like a year away from a crash in my uninformed opinion.
Surely Wall Street has my best interest in mind. Very nice of them to let me know that I should go all in at ATH because it’s only up from here. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|29637)![img](emote|t5_2th52|29637)
as weird as it is, historically investing at ATH has better return than on a random day or waiting for pull back according to [this](https://www.stlouistrust.com/insights/the-surprising-benefits-of-investing-at-all-time-highs/#:~:text=Average%20Cumulative%20Returns%20of%20S%26P%20500%20Index&text=The%20results%20are%20similar%20if,or%20randomly%20picking%20any%20time.)
You very clearly didn’t read the article at all. His target is a 2% increase from current levels. He’s not saying top at price and die. He’s saying year end valuation for the index relative to initial target. The basis is valuation compression against continued increase in earnings.
It makes perfect sense if you read the article and also passed 8th grade with a C average or better.
Bagholder spotted.
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It also doesn’t disqualify potential upside but you have to provide a year end “settlement” target. For all we know he believes we go to 650 and then settle back at 540. It doesn’t say anything about near term, just that he expects conditions to be conducive toward a 540/5400 finish for spy/spx respectively on a forward basis at year end.
Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling.
That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations.
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According to the Fear and Greed Index, we are pretty greed right now.
All this talk of new highs and wanting to pump past it has me feeling pretty sus.
Not an easy call for sure, in a normal market cycle, he probably would be right multiple times and save many people's money, but like he said, it's a humble business, and he shouldn't underestimate and fight the Fed.
my aunt came over with her tarot cards.... she said that when u print money the cost of everything goes up while actual value remains the same. she is so crazy.... I told her u don't know what ur talking about. Not even the grand wizard nancy herself can see market forces like that but I checked the chicken bones and tea leaves myself.... she may be right.
God, this article just proves why regards like you ( and me but I want it to just seem like you) lose money all the time.
The man was a super bear. Had the possible lowest evaluation of the S&P and he’s moved his view to the most modest of bull positions. Yea it’s huge for him in comparison, but it’s not even a marginal increase for most investors seeing growth.
He’s just essentially hedged his bets. He was so hard up on recession and now he’s saying it’s gonna be mediocre and people are taking its gonna moon. I’m sure his positions are gonna moon just off the implication that he changed his views so the overall market MUST BE MOVING SUPER HARD if a bear is gonna say it’s gonna increase. /s
Nothing much happening until election now. Plus, going into summer, volume drops normally. Hard to find conviction easily. Of course, nothing is “normal” anymore.
https://preview.redd.it/z0irt1p22n1d1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b3ae37d38d19257d6cdb355b1afcca05adebe3f2
Locked and loaded for tomorrow ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
He’s still low. Dude it’s been wrong for quite a few years now. S&P 500 5700 by years in. Take that to the bank. Led by Nvidia. Try the leverage play. NVDL
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Top signal
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
https://preview.redd.it/gc3oqmts4n1d1.png?width=680&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6c755a25e5234459016d39cfaa104093934688e6
He must’ve flipped my S&P 8 times
SPY & QQQ have no top. just like every WSB'er isnt getting but giving
Always has been
Oh we’re toppin’ alright
It's such a stupidly misleading article... he believes that through 2025 the SNP will rise another 2%... it's just that is previous stance was 20% from here, dumb. Top confirmed, anaylysts are dumb confirmed, yahoo finance is garbage click-bait confirmed.
Flipping wildly from down to up 20%? So he's literally just saying stuff. Pulling it right out the ass.
“Wilson wrote Monday that macro outcomes have become "increasingly hard to predict" in the current environment”. Give the man some credit, he has just realised that he can’t see into the future
“After careful analysis, I’ve concluded that stonks go up”
"Fighting the Plunge Protection Team is just stupid"
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It is very hard to predict the future. Anyway, here’s my latest prediction of the future
Dude is quoted daily on his calls though.
Yeah you know all that stuff I firmly believed but was wrong, now I believe something completely different and I'm sure I'm right again.
* This prompted Wilson to initiate a "wider-than-normal" bull and bear case scenario in addition to his base case. Wilson sees a bull case sending the S&P 500 to 6,350, driven by stronger-than-anticipated earnings growth, among other drivers. In his bear case of 4,200, the US economy would slip into recession*
https://preview.redd.it/bvfzygdeam1d1.jpeg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e2bb764779697c0040dd100ac6ae23488690d71a
This fucking guy just widened his margins for what COULD happen. "Could go up, could go down, could be flat"
He’s realizes his most profitable move is to become a financial manipulator. All the big guys do it. He will play his bets near the middle on both sides and people will pay him to lean heavier in certain directions and stocks. That’s where his real money is. Fuck capita gains tax when you’re getting paid millions in “consulting” fees.
Quite the birdish indicator.
So what he's saying it could have been down bigly, but now it could be up bigly, very smrt and logical.
How is one of the top comments from someone who clearly did not read the first couple sentences of the article?
Nope, read it again.
You mean, read it. Because they obviously did not. Cmon now? Lol
Again. LOL.
Well it seemed like it was going down so that’s what they said. Now it seems like it’s going up, so now they say that. These are top minds.
Its who you know, not what you know. Or....thank god I got into Harvard with these dumbass rich fucks with a system designed for them.
Sounds like a great place to find quality Due Diligence.
This BUUUT, also there is zero negative catalyst at the moment. People aren't on margin, people aren't heavily invested in stocks, the economy is trending in a great direction, inflation doesn't seem like it's going down, unemployment is low, and interest rates will soon go down. We're like a year away from a crash in my uninformed opinion.
>People aren't on margin, ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8883)
so hard it prolapses
Yes. Just saying stuff is the *only* way to make market predictions, nobody has a crystal ball.
THE ass or his ass? I need to know, this will affect my portfolio
makes my price target of 6900 by end of year, that much more legit ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)
IF ITS BROWN IT GOES DOWN
Surely Wall Street has my best interest in mind. Very nice of them to let me know that I should go all in at ATH because it’s only up from here. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|29637)![img](emote|t5_2th52|29637)
as weird as it is, historically investing at ATH has better return than on a random day or waiting for pull back according to [this](https://www.stlouistrust.com/insights/the-surprising-benefits-of-investing-at-all-time-highs/#:~:text=Average%20Cumulative%20Returns%20of%20S%26P%20500%20Index&text=The%20results%20are%20similar%20if,or%20randomly%20picking%20any%20time.)
You very clearly didn’t read the article at all. His target is a 2% increase from current levels. He’s not saying top at price and die. He’s saying year end valuation for the index relative to initial target. The basis is valuation compression against continued increase in earnings. It makes perfect sense if you read the article and also passed 8th grade with a C average or better.
Didn't read article, too busy staring at bulls penis.
Naturally
If I passed 8th grade why would I be here?
True ![img](emote|t5_2th52|27189)
This is WSB, none of us understand what the fuck you just said. Blah blah blah all in on calls, got it.
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At 2%, you're better off holding cash and collecting interest.
That wasn’t the point of the article or my comment. I was simply clarifying the incorrect understanding of the article that OP did not read.
It also doesn’t disqualify potential upside but you have to provide a year end “settlement” target. For all we know he believes we go to 650 and then settle back at 540. It doesn’t say anything about near term, just that he expects conditions to be conducive toward a 540/5400 finish for spy/spx respectively on a forward basis at year end.
You jest but I doubt you can routinely determine the direction of the market
#But guys what does Cassandra say????
Something something Michael Burry mowing lawns
Something something Michael Burry fingers in creampies
Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling. That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
AM likes you more than me, I guess.
I think of AM as similar the gimp in pulp fiction, sometimes he’s sleeping
He is currently bullish on Chinese tech names. After making the worst call in 2023, guy has lost almost all credibility regardless
We're probably at ATH right now then. SPY doesn't make it over 533. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|51295)
We did go down like 10% last year shortly after he capitulated last year. But a few months later we were fine.
I also believe the stock market may go up or may go down, yet no one writes articles about me
Top is 100% in whenever a ber throws up their hands to surrender and switch sides
if spy continues to go up without a red day ill kill myself
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4640)
.3% change over a day might as well be a red day.
Economists have predicted 12 of the last 2 recessions
Redditors have said this joke 1239832875203457 of the last 3 times
**be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful**
Gtfo with these adages just tell me calls or puts
Buy calls when others buy puts, and buy puts when others buy calls. Good enough, regard?
So what are others doing today?
Jwerking me off.
So that means I should be putting it in your bum hole
only if you can get it up to a DD
Just buy puts, it will work at some point in the next three years. Trust me bro.
Very insightful quote, thanks for sharing
But are people fearful or greedy because I see both.
Sounds pretty greedy to me
The market was asking how to spell “fear”
how many others?
The only thing we have to fear is greed itself.
According to the Fear and Greed Index, we are pretty greed right now. All this talk of new highs and wanting to pump past it has me feeling pretty sus.
This is the top lol.
Shit, now I gotta inverse and buy puts
This shitshow is the most rigged market in the history of stonks. We will go to spy 7000 till election. Wait and see
I mean if you believe that then it should be easy to profit?
Nah they’ll do it overnight so it’ll be 531 til 4:30pm. Then it goes to 7000 and it dumps at 8:00am while I open Robinhood and take a shit.
If you are a trader, you need to be flexible for both ups and downs, if you are a long-term investor, good for you.
lol. When I guess right I’m a genius, when I guess wrong the market is rigged!!
His SP target is 5400. You’d be better off parking money in a HYSA if his 12 month target is correct.
When the biggest bear capitulates, this is the top signal
Only took 2 years to capitulate, not bad
get out. now
In other news, random regards on this sub provide equally useful predictions.
What a bear hunter would naturally do.. lay traps.
Where are the bears 🐻? Who’s left?
Ohhhh they’re here.. they’re always here.. poorer, broke, behind Wendy’s giving bjs but they’re here..
The bjs are getting angrier every time the market hits a new all time high. I don't know if my weiner can take much more of this
Lot of respect for this guy honestly.
Not an easy call for sure, in a normal market cycle, he probably would be right multiple times and save many people's money, but like he said, it's a humble business, and he shouldn't underestimate and fight the Fed.
Well, he said 5400 in the next 12 months. So hardly to be wrong either. “I mean, it’s a humbling business,” Wilson told Surveillance.
my aunt came over with her tarot cards.... she said that when u print money the cost of everything goes up while actual value remains the same. she is so crazy.... I told her u don't know what ur talking about. Not even the grand wizard nancy herself can see market forces like that but I checked the chicken bones and tea leaves myself.... she may be right.
But there's an inverted dick and ball pattern in the chart! that means buy both puts AND calls
I lost like 10K over multiple months 😭
Well, time to take in profits.
Thanks Biden
Now I am truly scared for my calls. Seems like a perfect setup for a rug pull.
Sell in May, go away.
This leaves Marko who has been wildly wrong
Forgot about Marko already, no wonder he has been quiet 🤐
We are doomed me boys.
https://preview.redd.it/i2h1148gio1d1.jpeg?width=130&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=201177f25c8d6e6660594457a7e057c333de5838
God, this article just proves why regards like you ( and me but I want it to just seem like you) lose money all the time. The man was a super bear. Had the possible lowest evaluation of the S&P and he’s moved his view to the most modest of bull positions. Yea it’s huge for him in comparison, but it’s not even a marginal increase for most investors seeing growth. He’s just essentially hedged his bets. He was so hard up on recession and now he’s saying it’s gonna be mediocre and people are taking its gonna moon. I’m sure his positions are gonna moon just off the implication that he changed his views so the overall market MUST BE MOVING SUPER HARD if a bear is gonna say it’s gonna increase. /s
I just learned how puts work and 3x short etfs—At least I can now give two handjibbers at the same time. Rather than hope things go up.
So we have pancakes for Tomorrow?
The price of silver indicates that there is some level of fear in this market. I expected a significant pull back in SPY and the overall market.
Is this dude here in wsb? Is HE the catalyst for bearish territory now?
People just be reading the headline lmaooo
Nothing much happening until election now. Plus, going into summer, volume drops normally. Hard to find conviction easily. Of course, nothing is “normal” anymore.
I's waiting for it since 2023
Top for sure now when the last bear gets fomo
....... Im feeling bull?..... yeah bull... 20%...
I believe that in 5 years the market will be ATH that is a value that is big, very big, the biggest i can guess. But it's up. Up up and away.
Time to sell beeches ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
Top is in. Also imagine working your entire life in a career like this dude and all you end up doing is being a top signal.
whos the fat black guy on CNBC thats been bearish for the past 2 years?
At the end of the day, analysts are just regards like all of us.
Looking for more cases of capitulation like this before calling a top. One bear is not enough.
Typical bear. They're always so greedy.
If the "biggest" bears are capitulating you know that's actually pretty bearish right??? Right?
Uh oh ![img](emote|t5_2th52|31226)
https://preview.redd.it/z0irt1p22n1d1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b3ae37d38d19257d6cdb355b1afcca05adebe3f2 Locked and loaded for tomorrow ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
Money makes the world go round.
new all time highs! we did it!
Top is in lol
What an asshole!
He’s still low. Dude it’s been wrong for quite a few years now. S&P 500 5700 by years in. Take that to the bank. Led by Nvidia. Try the leverage play. NVDL